
Brain signatures of BMI detect systemic disease better than BMI
Across six human cohorts and a 2.3-year follow-up, neural networks identified brain structural patterns tied to cardiometabolic and pulmonary conditions.
In human participants from six independent cohorts, researchers applied deep learning to T1-weighted MRI scans to isolate structural brain biomarkers of body mass index (BMI). The models achieved strong within-cohort accuracy, although external performance declined. In a longitudinal subset tracked over 2.3 years, the model successfully monitored BMI changes, demonstrating higher sensitivity to BMI increases and in participants with obesity. Brain-derived biomarkers also inferred lifestyle factors and outperformed measured BMI in detecting cardiometabolic and pulmonary disorders that lack a primary neurological cause. These predictions were primarily driven by white matter signals in the cerebellum, corpus callosum, and brainstem, which identified disorders as accurately as whole-brain models.
Why it matters
The results suggest that systemic metabolic state and central brain structure share underlying biological mechanisms that track noncommunicable disease risks.
Caveats
The observational models showed reduced performance when tested across independent cohorts and were limited to structural MRI predictions without establishing causal mechanisms.
The paper
Brain signatures of body mass index predict cardiometabolic and respiratory disease status
Li H, Mehta A, Castro E et al.
NPJ Digital Medicine · 3 Oct 2026

