bioRxiv

Immune Aging is an Independent Risk Factor for Cardiovascular Disease

Preprint: study in peopleBiomarkers
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Abstract

Cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of mortality worldwide, yet substantial risk persists beyond traditional clinical and metabolic predictors. The immune system is a key mediator of this residual risk, but clinically scalable metrics of immune state are lacking. Here, we established the clinical and prognostic relevance of IMM-AGE, a system-level metric of immune aging derived from immune cell correlation structure. We developed a transcriptomic gene-ratio signature and optimized reduced-marker flow cytometry panels that accurately preserve IMM-AGE across blood fractions, platforms and cohorts. Applying these clinic-ready implementations across population-based and disease-specific datasets, we show that elevated IMM-AGE is consistently associated with cardiovascular phenotypes and disease. We leverage the UK biobank to show that incorporation of IMM-AGE into the PREVENT 10-year risk equation increase accuracy of risk stratification. We also show that in elderly patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement, baseline IMM-AGE independently predicted early maladaptive cardiac remodeling and one-year mortality. Finally, in the Baseline Health Study, a large longitudinal cohort, IMM-AGE stratified cardiovascular event risk among individuals with otherwise similar clinical profiles. Together, these findings establish immune aging as a transferable, biologically grounded risk dimension and support IMM-AGE as a practical tool for precision cardiovascular risk assessment.