Clinical risk

Papers on clinical risk

1,010 papers131 new in 30 days

Monday, October 26

ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

Resilience score linked to lower mortality in adults

An observational study of 11,854 US adults followed for a median of 13.8 years linked higher scores to 29 percent lower all-cause mortality.An observational study of 11,854 US adults followed for a median of 13.8 years linked higher scores to 29 percent lower all-cause mortality.

Skeletal muscle fibers widen beside blood samples with fewer inflammation markers, with a small group of upright people below.
Cohort · 11,854 peopleBiomarkers
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

High blood sweetener levels linked to death risk in kidney disease

Death hazard ratios—comparisons of death rates over time—were 2.29 for erythritol and 1.99 for xylitol, comparing highest versus lowest blood-level quarters.Death hazard ratios—comparisons of death rates over time—were 2.29 for erythritol and 1.99 for xylitol, comparing highest versus lowest blood-level quarters.

Kidney cross-sections show heavy versus light scarring beside blood samples with dense versus sparse sweetener molecules.
Cohort · 5,143 peopleBiomarkers
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

Activity linked to lower risk of an irregular heartbeat

Among people with diseased upper heart chambers, each 10-minute moderate-to-vigorous activity increase was linked to an estimated 2.78 fewer cases per 1,000 person-years.Among people with diseased upper heart chambers, each 10-minute moderate-to-vigorous activity increase was linked to an estimated 2.78 fewer cases per 1,000 person-years.

A heart cutaway has dense dark marks in one upper chamber beside standing figures and sparse marks in the other beside exercising figures.
Cohort · 10,019 peoplePopulations
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

Heart tracing model ranks heart failure risk across populations

In UK Biobank, the model outperformed three established clinical risk scores, with 6.9% to 22.5% relative improvements in risk-ranking performance.In UK Biobank, the model outperformed three established clinical risk scores, with 6.9% to 22.5% relative improvements in risk-ranking performance.

A cutaway heart shows branching electrical pathways beside smaller hearts with thick or thin walls and groups of upright, faceless people.
Cross-sectional studyHeart failure
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

Atrial fibrillation linked to higher death and disease risks

Over a median 2.9 years, 76,412 people with atrial fibrillation died, compared with 34,555 matched controls without it in an English health-record study.Over a median 2.9 years, 76,412 people with atrial fibrillation died, compared with 34,555 matched controls without it in an English health-record study.

Heart cross-sections beside small groups of people contrast enlarged chambers and thickened valves with a smaller heart with compact chambers.
Cohort · 173,519 peopleAtrial fibrillation
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

Social disadvantages link to more deaths after valve replacement

One-year mortality reached 9.3% in patients with three or more social disadvantage markers, versus 3.6%, 6.3%, and 6.1% in those with zero, one, and two.One-year mortality reached 9.3% in patients with three or more social disadvantage markers, versus 3.6%, 6.3%, and 6.1% in those with zero, one, and two.

A replacement heart valve sits between patient groups; the gray group beneath a roof has more empty silhouettes and occupied hospital beds.
Cohort · 7,607 peoplePopulations
ESC Congress 2026 Abstract

DNA-based aging clocks track death risk in heart failure

In an observational study of 2,594 heart failure patients followed for three years, blood tests measuring biological age improved death risk prediction beyond clinical…In an observational study of 2,594 heart failure patients followed for three years, blood tests measuring biological age improved death risk prediction beyond clinical tools.

White blood cells with differently clustered tags on chromatin fibers sit above heart cross-sections, one large and dark blue-green, the other smaller and gray.
Cohort · 2,594 peopleHeart failure