BMC Medicine

Severe infection linked to long-term heart rhythm problems

The adjusted hazard ratio for new heart rhythm disorders was 1.85 after hospital-treated infection compared with no infection, over 14.2 years’ median follow-up.

Paper by Hai Deng, Mei-Ping Lin, Xin-Yan He, 5 more authorsYun-Jiu Cheng · Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences
Fig. 1. Risk of incident arrhythmias according to time since severe infection.
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Fig. 1. Risk of incident arrhythmias according to time since severe infection.Risk of incident arrhythmias according to time since severe infection.Deng et al.
Cohort study of 465,374 UK Biobank participants, against people without severe infectionPopulations

Dose-response, independent replication

Limit: Subclinical cardiovascular disease could increase both infection susceptibility and arrhythmia risk

Edited by Boris Djordjevic · AgingResearch.News

Follow

Researchers followed 465,374 UK Biobank participants in a prospective observational study of hospital-treated infections and new arrhythmias, or abnormal heart rhythms. Over a median of 14.2 years, 70,527 participants had a severe infection. The analysis accounted for social factors, lifestyle, other illnesses and blood measurements.

Infection was associated with a higher hazard of any new arrhythmia: an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.85 compared with no infection. This describes relative risk over time, not the absolute chance of developing an arrhythmia. The association was strongest during the first 30 days, with a hazard ratio of 11.40, and remained elevated from 366 days onward, at 1.58. Repeated infections were associated with greater risk. The researchers also found these associations in two other cohorts.

Why it matters

For cardiovascular health in later life, one question is whether past severe infections help identify future heart rhythm risk. The authors suggest infection history may add modest information to risk assessments, substantially less than high blood pressure.

Caveats

This observational study cannot establish that infection caused arrhythmias. The abstract reports relative hazards but not absolute arrhythmia risks.

Where the evidence stands

Severe infection

  • 3 independent labs in 3 countries
  • Funders: National Natural Science Foundation of China and others

Bacterial infection

  • 3 independent labs in 2 countries
  • Funders: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others

From the paper

Participants

The analytical cohort comprised 465,374 participants from the UK Biobank.

Results, Study population and baseline characteristics

Follow-up

Over a median follow-up of 14.2 years, 70,527 (15.2%) participants had a severe infection.

Results

Result

Infection was associated with a significantly increased risk of any incident arrhythmia (adjusted HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.80–1.90).

Results

Absolute difference

The HR for any arrhythmia was 1.85 (95% CI: 1.80–1.90), corresponding to an absolute risk increase of 9.60 per 1000 person-years.

Results, Association of severe infection with incident arrhythmias

Limitation

The lack of detailed severity indicators (e.g., SOFA/qSOFA scores, ICU admission, vasopressor use, or mechanical ventilation) precluded assessment of a dose-response relationship.

Strengths and limitations

Quoted word for word from the full text on link.springer.com.

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