Association analysis between sex hormone levels and all-cause mortality in Hainan female centenarians

Objective: To investigate the distribution characteristics of sex hormones and their relationship with all-cause mortality in Hainan female centenarians. Methods: All the subjects were from China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study. A total of 717 female centenarians were included in the final analysis. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curve, and Cox proportional hazard regression was used to analyze the relationship between sex hormones and survival time. Results: The M(Q₁, Q₃) of estradiol and progesterone among female centenarians was 32.60 (18.40, 58.70) pmol/L and 0.62 (0.32, 1.01) nmol/L. The estradiol (pmol/L) and progesterone (nmol/L) in the survival and death groups were 26.65 vs.37.80, 0.54 vs.0.69, respectively, with statistical differences (P<0.05). Cox multivariate analysis showed that estradiol and progesterone were significantly associated with death (P<0.05), the hazard ratio (HR) of estradiol Q₄ was 1.58 (95%CI: 1.17-2.15), and the HR of progesterone Q₃ was 1.53 (95%CI: 1.10-2.12), HR for Q₄ was 1.63 (95%CI: 1.15-2.32). Subgroup and cross-analysis showed that estradiol was statistically significant with hypertension, diabetes, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (P<0.05), and progesterone interacted with diabetes (P=0.016), while testosterone interacted with low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (P=0.034). Conclusion: It is suggested that the estrogen levels of female centenarians in Hainan were associated with a higher mortality risk and an increased risk of cardiovascular metabolic disease (such as diabetes, hypertension, and abnormal lipid metabolism).