BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care

Early type 2 diabetes diagnosis linked to higher death rates

With 100 representing expected mortality based on Finns without diabetes, death ratios were 288 for diagnosis by 40 and 56 at 80 or older.

Paper by Jenna Mustalahti, Satu Mäkelä, Virag Levai, Jaason Haapakoski, Saara Metso · Tampere University
Figure from BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care
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Mustalahti et al., CC BY-NC

Our read

Populations
Studied:
Cohort study of 485,713 Finnish patients with type 2 diabetes, median 6 years
What changed:
Deaths among people diagnosed with diabetes at ≤40 years were 288 percent of expected deaths based on people without diabetes
The catch:
Smoking, body mass index, and blood pressure were unavailable, leaving mortality comparisons vulnerable to confounding
In the record:
The 172nd paper on insulin with results in people; 607 on record in all. Its result on mortality agrees with 10 of 13 other findings on record; 2 point the other way and 1 found no change.

Editor of record: Boris Djordjevic · AgingResearch.News

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In Finland, 485,713 people with type 2 diabetes were included in a retrospective dynamic cohort study using national registry records from 2018 to 2023. People diagnosed during follow-up entered at diagnosis. Median follow-up was six years, and 82,431 people died.

After adjustment for age and sex, death rates were higher than among Finns without diabetes for people diagnosed at 40 or younger, but lower for those diagnosed at 80 or older. Overall mortality was also lower than in the comparison population. Across the cohort, heart failure and high or very high risk of worsening kidney disease were strongly associated with higher mortality.

Why it matters

Age at diagnosis may help guide risk assessment as people with type 2 diabetes grow older. The authors highlighted the need for targeted management of high-risk individuals.

Caveats

Other illnesses could have influenced the mortality comparison, which adjusted only for age and sex. The analysis excluded people diagnosed before age 10 or after age 100.

Where the evidence stands

GLP-1 receptor agonists

Cells, worms or flies, mice and humans: replicated by independent labs.
  • 994 independent labs in 89 countries
  • 733 findings against
  • 1,238 trials, 309 with no results posted
  • Funders: Eli Lilly and Company and others
  • 1,728 of 7,097 findings with company ties
  • 755 of 1,238 trials sponsored by its developers

Insulin

Cells, mice and humans: replicated by independent labs. Worms or flies: a single group.
  • 155 independent labs in 45 countries
  • 24 findings against
  • 234 trials, 92 with no results posted
  • Funders: National Institutes of Health and others
  • 24 of 310 findings with company ties
  • 53 of 234 trials sponsored by its developers

From the paper

Follow-up

The median follow-up time was 6 years, with 55% of patients completing the full follow-up period.

Results

Result

In the multivariable analysis, age at the start of follow-up was positively associated with the risk of death (RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.06).

Results

Quoted word for word from the full text on drc.bmj.com.

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