American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
Risk score predicted chronic obstructive lung disease
Over 10 years, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease developed in 1.5% of the low-risk group and 42% of the very-high-risk group in one cohort.Over 10 years, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease developed in 1.5% of the low-risk group and 42% of the very-high-risk group in one cohort.

Cohort · 14,506 peopleChronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Who was studied14,506 people without airflow obstruction, 5-10 years, against low-risk participants
What changed10-year COPD incidence was 42% in very high-risk participants versus 1.5% in low-risk participants
The catchCOPD classification used pre-bronchodilator testing, which can misclassify reversible airflow obstruction