Estimates of genetic effects across age differ by study design

Comparing people at different ages and tracking the same people over time agreed on effect direction for 84.21% of 57 identified DNA variants.

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Figure 1Schoeler et al.

Nature Aging

In an observational analysis of human traits, researchers compared two approaches to estimating how genetic effects varied with age. One was cross-sectional, comparing different people at different ages. The other was longitudinal, tracking changes within the same people. The designs agreed on the direction of effects for 84.21% of 57 identified DNA variants, but agreement on their size was moderate.

Among these variants, genetic effects linked to birth year accounted for 70.8% of the variation in effect-size differences between designs. Bias related to who took part accounted for another 11.6%. Age-related changes that did not follow a straight line and were left out of the models contributed 4.2%. The researchers recommended combining both designs to make more reliable estimates.

Why it matters

Understanding how genetic influences on traits change over the lifespan is a central question in aging research. The paper addresses how researchers can distinguish age-related patterns from differences between generations.

Caveats

Neither approach was immune to design-specific limitations. Differences between estimates from the two designs were driven principally by cohort confounding and participation bias.

The paper

Design and model choices shape inference of age-varying genetic effects on complex traits

Tabea Schoeler, Simon Wiegrebe, Thomas W Winkler, Zoltán Kutalik

University of Lausanne

Nature Aging · 6 Oct 2026

doi.org/10.1038/s43587-026-01232-wPubMed 42839093