European Geriatric Medicine

Machine learning flags reliable muscle estimates in older adults

The best-performing model had an accuracy score of 0.70 for classifying estimates as within 1.14 kilograms of an X-ray reference measurement or outside that range.

Figure 1 from European Geriatric Medicine
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Figure 1. Zanforlini et al.

Our read

Biomarkers
Studied:
Cross-sectional study of 701 adults aged 65 or older
What changed:
The best-performing model had an accuracy score of 0.70 for classifying muscle estimates
The catch:
Whether model-guided decisions improved patients' health was not measured

Editor of record: Boris Djordjevic · AgingResearch.News

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Among 701 adults aged 65 or older, including 550 healthy participants and 151 outpatients, a cross-sectional study tested machine learning to judge the reliability of muscle measurements. Researchers compared estimates of arm and leg muscle mass from bioelectrical impedance, which measures resistance to an electrical current, with measurements from a specialized X-ray scan.

They defined an accurate estimate as one within 1.14 kilograms of the scan result. Estimates met that threshold in 62.4% of healthy participants but 25.2% of outpatients. Computer models performed better as researchers added handgrip strength and further body measurements to basic body-size and electrical measurements. The best-performing model used the fullest set of measurements to distinguish accurate estimates from inaccurate ones.

Why it matters

For older adults, the authors propose a standardized way for clinicians to decide whether to accept or reject bedside muscle estimates, including when other health conditions are present.

Caveats

The results concerned measurement accuracy, not whether model-guided decisions improved patients’ health. All participants were at least 65, and most were healthy.

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