medRxiv
Lifetime risk model matched standard 10-year prediction accuracy
Both models scored 0.860 in women and 0.845 in men for distinguishing who developed cardiovascular disease over 10 years.Both models scored 0.860 in women and 0.845 in men for distinguishing who developed cardiovascular disease over 10 years.
Preprint: cohort · 3,246,602 peopleBiomarkers
Who was studied3,246,602 adults in the validation cohort, against the existing QRISK4 risk model
What changedPrediction accuracy matched QRISK4: both scored 0.860 in women and 0.845 in men for distinguishing who developed cardiovascular disease
The catchOnly 10-year predictions were validated, not lifetime risk estimates