The Annals of Thoracic Surgery

Heart-test age gap linked to poorer survival after valve surgery

Patients whose estimated age exceeded their actual age by more than five years had higher 30-day death odds than other patients (odds ratio 1.69).

Heart cross-section with a replacement valve, beside a full group of blue figures and a gray group with white gaps and nearby blood cells.

Our read

Biomarkers
Studied:
Cohort study of 5,503 patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement
What changed:
Long-term death risk was higher when heart-test age exceeded actual age by >5 years (hazard ratio 1.25)
The catch:
Diabetes, kidney failure, and smoking were more common in the higher-gap group, potentially affecting survival

Editor of record: Boris Djordjevic · AgingResearch.News

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The 5,503 patients undergoing surgical replacement of the heart’s aortic valve had a median age of 73.2 years in this observational study. An artificial intelligence system estimated their age from electrocardiograms, recordings of the heart’s electrical activity, taken within 30 days before surgery. The researchers subtracted actual age from estimated age to calculate an age gap.

In 16.7% of patients, the estimate exceeded actual age by more than five years. This group had higher odds of death within 30 days than the other patients. An elevated age gap was also independently linked to worse long-term survival. Patients in the higher-gap group were more likely to receive blood transfusions and had longer stays in intensive care and in hospital.

Why it matters

The authors interpret the age gap as a sign of advanced physiological aging, suggesting a possible role for heart recordings in assessing surgical risk beyond calendar age.

Caveats

The higher-gap group also had more diabetes, kidney failure and current smoking; differences in health could have contributed to the survival link. The results concern patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement.

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