Research Square

Alzheimer disease risk estimates lose clinical calibration across study phases despite useful patient ranking

Preprint: cohort study of 1,002 peopleBiomarkers

24 months

Abstract

Risk prediction in Alzheimer disease can guide follow-up, biomarker testing, trial referral, and prognostic counseling. Clinical use of an estimated 24-month probability requires both useful ranking and a probability scale that retains its meaning when the population changes.

The paper

University of Illinois Chicago

Research Square, 4 Sep 2026, CC BY, Preprint, not peer-reviewed

doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-10898531/v1