Neurology · Mar 13, 2026

Circulating Biomarkers of Neurodegeneration and All-Cause and Dementia-Specific Mortality

By Sawyer RP, Blair J, Judd SE et al.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Blood-based biomarkers offer a widely available, scalable, and noninvasive method to study neurodegeneration. However, the association between blood-based biomarkers of neurodegeneration and long-term risk of mortality, as well as dementia-specific mortality in a racially diverse cohort, remains understudied. The goal of this study was to determine whether baseline biomarkers of neurodegeneration are associated with long-term risk of all-cause and dementia-specific mortality in a biracial cohort. METHODS: The REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke cohort study enrolled 30,239 Black and White participants across the continental United States from 2003 to 2007, with ongoing follow-up. Plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL), total tau, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), and ubiquitin carboxy-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCH-L1) were measured in baseline plasma from a random sample of participants. All-cause mortality, dementia-specific mortality, cardiovascular-specific mortality, and other causes of death were adjudicated and classified using medical records, the Social Security Death Index, and the National Death Index. Cause-specific Cox regression models accounting for competing risks were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) of outcomes for each biomarker separately. RESULTS: A total of 917 participants had a mean baseline age of 67.4 years (SD 12.1), 49.4% were female, and 48.6% self-identified as Black. With a mean follow-up of 11.1 (SD 5.7) years, 51.0% (477/935) of participants died and 9.2% experienced dementia-specific mortality (86/935). No associations were observed for total tau. In fully adjusted models for other biomarkers, HRs of all-cause mortality per standard deviation increments were 1.93 (95% CI 1.48-2.52) for GFAP, 1.90 (95% CI 1.55-2.32) for NfL, and 1.23 (95% CI 1.09-1.37) for UCH-L1. Furthermore, GFAP (HR 5.66, 95% CI 2.91-11.00) and NfL (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.57-4.71) were associated with dementia-specific mortality in fully adjusted models. GFAP (HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.22-3.49) and NfL (HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.66-2.81) were also associated with cardiovascular-specific mortality in fully adjusted models. DISCUSSION: Plasma biomarkers of neurodegeneration, particularly GFAP and NfL, were associated with increased risk of all-cause, dementia-specific, and cardiovascular-specific mortality in a biracial cohort. These associations should be considered when assessing links between these biomarkers and other outcomes, as well as when used in clinical practice.

doi.org/10.1212/wnl.0000000000214752 Open access PubMed 41824925 Biomarkers